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4.1 Sampling Distributions for Sample Means — Answers and Rubrics

These solutions explain the new practice tasks in this lesson. For simulation parts, a valid recorded run may differ from another learner’s run; the rubric checks the model, recorded work and interpretation.

Original generated practice for the Fall 2026 course. Return to the lesson and independent checks.

Average Waiting Times Across Random Samples: worked answer

A service has 100,000 waiting-time records for a defined year. For this teaching model its true population mean is known to be 12 minutes and its true population SD 6 minutes. The population is moderately right-skewed with finite variance and no extreme outliers. Select an SRS of 64 distinct records without replacement, independently repeating the whole procedure for the sampling distribution. An earlier pilot sample of 10 records had observed mean 11.9 and observed SD 5.7. Use the usual 10% approximation and a justified normal approximation.

Part a

Calculate the mean and SD of the size-64 sample-mean distribution, with formula and substitution. Explain why the pilot sample mean and SD do not replace the supplied true parameters. State whether the SD of individual waiting times changes when n becomes 64.

μxˉ=12\mu_{\bar x}=12 minutes and σxˉ≈6/64=0.75\sigma_{\bar x}\approx 6/\sqrt{64}=0.75 minute. These use the known population parameters; 11.9 and 5.7 are statistics from one pilot sample, not newly known true parameters. Individual waiting times retain population SD 6 minutes. Only the size-64 mean’s sampling SD is about 0.75 minute, using the small-fraction approximation.

Part a scoring criteria
Evidence for creditPoints
Uses mean 12 and SD 6/√64=0.75 with minute units.1
Distinguishes observed pilot statistics from known population parameters.1
States that the individual population SD remains 6 minutes.1

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Part b

Justify the original sampling and approximately normal mean model. Address randomization, the numerical 10% condition, and why the supplied population shape and sample size support the CLT approximation rather than the exact normal-population branch.

The SRS is random, and 64≤0.10(100,000)=10,00064\leq 0.10(100{,}000)=10{,}000, supporting the usual independence approximation without a finite-population correction. The population is not normal, but n=64≥30 and the supplied moderate skew/no-extreme-outlier description supports a CLT-based approximately normal mean model. This is an approximation, not a claim that the individual waiting times are normal.

Part b scoring criteria
Evidence for creditPoints
Identifies random sampling and checks 64≤10,000.1
Explains the small-fraction independence approximation.1
Uses the actual moderate-skew description and n≥30 to justify approximate mean normality.1
Distinguishes the mean’s distribution from the individual population distribution.1

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Part c

Evaluate each separate case, assuming finite variance: (i) a normal waiting-time population with independent sampling and n=9; (ii) a moderately skewed population with an SRS of 40 from N=10,000; (iii) an extremely skewed population with an SRS of 30 from N=10,000; (iv) 100 voluntary respondents; (v) an SRS of 2,000 from N=10,000. State which design or shape conditions pass or fail. In case (iii), explain the precise limitation rather than calling 30 a universal guarantee or a universal failure.

(i) A normal population gives a normal sampling-mean distribution at n=9 under independent sampling. (ii) Randomness and 40≤1,000 pass; n=40≥30 and moderate skew support an approximate normal mean. (iii) Randomness and 30≤1,000 pass, but extreme skew may require a sample much larger than 30; the threshold alone does not establish an adequate normal approximation. It does not prove every such n=30 distribution fails. (iv) Voluntary selection is not random sampling. (v) 2,000>1,000 fails the usual 10% approximation for the SD formula without a finite-population correction.

Part c scoring criteria
Evidence for creditPoints
Accepts the normal-population n=9 branch and explains why.1
Checks the SRS/fraction and CLT branch in case (ii).1
States the entire extreme-skew limitation without inventing a universal cutoff.1
Identifies voluntary-selection failure and 2,000/10,000 fraction failure.1

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Part d

For the original size-64 sample, estimate the probability that its average wait exceeds 13.5 minutes. Show the standardized cutoff and area direction. Interpret the sampling-distribution mean, SD and this probability in the defined-year service context, explicitly naming the repeated sample size.

z=(13.5−12)/0.75=2z=(13.5-12)/0.75=2, giving upper-tail probability about 0.02275. Across repeated SRSs of 64 records from the service’s defined-year population, sample means average 12 minutes and typically deviate from 12 by about 0.75 minute. About 2.28% of these size-64 samples would have an average above 13.5 minutes under the stated approximation. This concerns entire sample means, not the percentage of individual customers waiting above 13.5 minutes.

Part d scoring criteria
Evidence for creditPoints
Calculates z=2 and the upper-tail probability about 0.02275.1
Interprets mean 12 and SD 0.75 for repeated sample means, with units.1
Interprets the probability for repeated SRSs of 64 records from the defined population.1

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