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Two Independent Means: Add Variances, Keep the Populations Clear — Solutions and Rubrics

Use these solutions after completing the independent application. The rubrics describe what the requested action must demonstrate; equivalent correct reasoning is welcome.

Original generated practice for the Fall 2026 course. Return to the lesson and independent checks.

Compare mean shelf life: worked answer

Independent SRSs without replacement compare shelf life in days for packaged foods of brands A and B. Population standard deviations are unknown. Estimate μ_A−μ_B with 95% confidence. Technology supplies a Welch df of 72.999755 and central 95% t*=1.992997.

Independent shelf-life samples (days)
BrandnSample meanSample SDPopulation size
A3514.22.110000
B4012.92.412000

Part a

Define both population means and the ordered difference, select the interval procedure and justify all three conditions with the actual design and sample sizes. Explain why this is not paired data.

μ_A and μ_B are the population mean shelf lives in days for packages of A and B; the parameter is A minus B. Use a two-sample t-interval for a difference of population means with unknown σs. Independent SRSs give randomization; 35≤1,000 and 40≤1,200 satisfy each without-replacement bound. Both sample sizes are at least 30, the course large-sample condition. The two samples contain different independently selected packages, not matched observations on the same units.

Part a scoring criteria
Evidence for creditPoints
Correct parameter units/order and two-sample t interval.1
Full independent sampling/fraction/sample-data checks.1

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Part b

Calculate the point estimate, SE, MOE and interval. Identify both sample SD terms and explain how the t critical/df were obtained, including the full allowed df range.

Point estimate=14.2−12.9=1.3 days. SE=√(2.1²/35+2.4²/40)=√0.27=0.5196152 days. These are separate sample SDs, not known population σs. The supplied technology df≈72.999755 gives t*≈1.992997; df lies between the smaller of 34 and 39 (34) and 35+40−2=73. MOE=t*SE≈1.0355917; interval≈(0.2644083,2.3355917) days. Appropriate t-distribution technology finds df/critical value; a conservative table choice must be stated if used.

Part b scoring criteria
Evidence for creditPoints
Correct mean difference, SE, margin and endpoints.1
Names sample SDs, t critical/technology and lower/upper df bounds.1

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Part c

Interpret the interval and confidence level separately, then justify a claim about the population mean difference. Address zero and the order A−B without claiming every A package lasts longer.

We are 95% confident that brand A’s population mean shelf life exceeds B’s by between about 0.264 and 2.336 days. Repeated independent samples of these sizes from the same populations would yield intervals that capture μ_A−μ_B approximately 95% of the time. This one interval may or may not capture the fixed difference. Since zero is excluded and all values are positive, it supports a population mean difference with A higher. The interval describes means, not every package pair.

Part c scoring criteria
Evidence for creditPoints
Correct contextual ordered endpoints and repeated-confidence meaning.1
Correct zero exclusion/direction claim for population means only.1

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Are the mean battery lives different?: worked answer

Independent SRSs without replacement compare battery-life populations for model A (20,000 batteries) and model B (25,000 batteries). Each battery is tested once under the same conditions. Both population σs are unknown. Test whether the population means differ at α=0.05. The frequency table contains all observations; the samples show no strong skew or isolated outlier. Sample output: n_A=18, x̄_A=8.2, s_A=1.13759292, n_B=22, x̄_B=7.5, s_B=1.08012345. Welch technology gives df=35.633502, with upper t-tail at the observed positive statistic equal to 0.02770495.

Battery-life frequency observations (hours)
HoursCount ACount B
5.501
6.002
6.210
6.503
6.720
7.003
7.220
7.504
7.720
8.003
8.240
8.503
8.720
9.002
9.220
9.501
9.720
10.210

Part a

Define μ_A and μ_B, select the test, and write the null in both equivalent forms. Write the two-sided alternative in both forms, plus both possible one-sided alternatives and their difference forms.

μ_A and μ_B are population mean battery lives in hours under the same test conditions. Use a two-sample t-test for independent population means. H₀:μ_A−μ_B=0 or μ_A=μ_B. Hₐ:μ_A≠μ_B or μ_A−μ_B≠0. A lower-A question uses μ_A<μ_B or μ_A−μ_B<0; higher-A uses μ_A>μ_B or μ_A−μ_B>0. All hypotheses concern population means, not the observed 8.2 and 7.5.

Part a scoring criteria
Evidence for creditPoints
Correct two-mean t test and population definitions.1
All equivalent null/not-equal/less/greater forms correct.1

Return to this independent task

Part b

Justify randomization, each sampling fraction and the small-sample condition for both groups using the frequency table. Explain why one clean sample is not enough when either group has fewer than 30 observations.

Independent SRSs establish randomization. 18≤2,000 and 22≤2,500 meet the 10% checks. Both n values are below 30, so inspect both distributions: A is symmetric around 8.2 with balanced counts over 6.2–10.2; B is symmetric around 7.5 with balanced counts over 5.5–9.5. Neither has an isolated extreme. When either sample is small, both sample distributions should be free of strong skewness and outliers; looking only at A would leave B’s condition unsupported.

Part b scoring criteria
Evidence for creditPoints
Correct random/fraction checks.1
Both actual shape checks and explanation of either-small/both-clean rule.1

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Part c

Compute the SE and t-statistic, name the null reference distribution, give the df range and obtain the two-sided p-value from the output. Explain the role of technology or an appropriate t table.

SE=√(1.13759292²/18+1.08012345²/22)≈0.35344834 hours. t=[(8.2−7.5)−0]/SE≈1.9804875. Under equal population means it has an approximate t distribution with appropriate Welch df≈35.633502, found by technology. df is between min(17,21)=17 and 18+22−2=38. The not-equal alternative uses both theoretical tails, giving p≈2(0.02770495)=0.05540989. A suitable t table can give a bound or an explicitly conservative df approximation; do not use standard normal or one tail silently.

Part c scoring criteria
Evidence for creditPoints
Correct SE/t and explicit difference-minus-zero construction.1
Appropriate t df/range and doubled upper-tail p.1

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Part d

Interpret the p-value conditionally, make the formal decision and answer the population-mean battery question with appropriate limits. Explain why the answer concerns means rather than every battery.

Assuming equal population mean battery life under these conditions, the probability of a standardized sample mean difference at least 1.9805 in absolute value is approximately 0.05541. Since this is >0.05, fail to reject H₀. There is not convincing statistical evidence that the model population mean battery lives differ. This evidence statement concerns population averages, not a guarantee comparing every A/B battery, and it does not prove either equality or a universal difference.

Part d scoring criteria
Evidence for creditPoints
Correct conditional two-tail interpretation.1
Correct p/alpha decision and limited mean-difference conclusion.1

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Check both groups, not just the smaller one: worked answer

Each case concerns a quantitative response and unknown population σs. SRSs are without replacement; treatment assignments in F are randomized, with one response measured per volunteer. Choose and justify a two-sample t interval or test when the stated design supports it.

Six two-mean designs
CaseSamples/designDistribution or population information
AIndependent SRSs n40 and n50, each population 10,000No strong outliers reported; no Normal population claim
BIndependent SRSs n8 and n10, each population 10,000Both populations approximately Normal; both samples symmetric/no outliers
CIndependent SRSs n12 and n40, each population 10,000Both samples symmetric/no outliers
DIndependent SRSs n12 and n40, each population 10,000Small sample symmetric; larger sample strongly skewed with an isolated extreme
EIndependent SRSs n120 and n120 from populations 1,000 and 3,000Both samples symmetric
F80 adult volunteers randomly assigned, 40 to calming music and 40 to quiet reading; one reaction time in milliseconds per participantBoth samples symmetric/no outliers

Part a

For A–F justify randomization, each relevant population-sampling bound and the sample-data condition. Explicitly explain the both-large, both-Normal and either-small/both-clean branches. Identify which cases do not support the ordinary approximation and why.

A: independent SRSs, fractions below 10%, both n≥30 support the course large-sample route. B: random/fractions satisfied, both populations approximately Normal and both observed samples clean support small samples. C: random/fractions satisfied; because either n is below 30, both sample distributions must be checked and both are clean. D fails that same branch: a clean small group does not compensate for strong skew/outlier in the other group. E has randomization and adequate n, but 120>100 violates the first population’s sampling fraction; 120≤300 for the second is not enough. F’s random assignment supplies experiment randomization, population-sampling fraction is unnecessary for assignment, and both n40 meet the sample-data condition. Volunteer participation limits broad population generalization even though causal treatment comparison is possible under the design.

Part a scoring criteria
Evidence for creditPoints
Correct random/fraction analysis for all cases, E failure and F exemption.1
All sample-data alternatives stated; D fails because both groups need clean shape when either is small.1

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Part b

For case F choose and name the interval and test procedures for the music-minus-reading mean response difference. Define both means and their ordered difference with the response, units and supported target scope. Explain why random assignment does not establish that volunteers represent all people. If each volunteer instead received both treatments in random order, explain the resulting change in method.

Use a two-sample t-interval and a two-sample t-test for independent mean reaction times. Let μ_music and μ_reading be mean reaction time in milliseconds under the respective treatments for a scope justified by these adult volunteers; estimate or test μ_music−μ_reading. Random assignment can support a causal treatment effect within this design, while volunteering does not make participants representative of all people. If each volunteer receives both treatments, responses within that person are dependent; compute music-minus-reading differences and use a one-sample paired t method rather than adding two independent sample variances.

Part b scoring criteria
Evidence for creditPoints
Correct independent two-mean t procedures; ordered music-minus-reading reaction-time means in milliseconds, with volunteer-scope limit.1
Correct switch to one difference per person under within-person design.1

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A difference interval can include zero: worked answer

Valid independent random-sample analyses compare mean checkout waits in minutes for stores A and B. The parameter order is μ_A−μ_B. Study 1 has a 95% interval (−1.2,0.8) minutes and a two-sided equal-means p-value 0.48. A separate study 2 has a 95% interval (0.4,2.0) minutes and a valid two-sided p-value 0.008. Both chose α=0.05. The interval and test outputs are supplied; the question is interpretation and evidentiary judgment.

Part a

Interpret both intervals, naming the lower/upper endpoints and parameter order. Explain repeated-sampling confidence and whether each interval supports a population mean difference. State how reversing the order changes the signs.

Study 1: we are 95% confident A’s population mean wait is 1.2 minutes lower to 0.8 minutes higher than B’s; zero is included, so a difference lacks convincing interval support. Study 2: we are 95% confident A’s mean wait is 0.4 to 2.0 minutes higher; zero is excluded, supporting a population mean difference with A higher. Repeated independent samples of the same sizes/populations would give intervals capturing the fixed mean difference about 95% of the time; an individual interval may or may not capture it. Reversing B−A gives (−0.8,1.2) and (−2.0,−0.4), preserving information and zero inclusion.

Part a scoring criteria
Evidence for creditPoints
Correct ordered endpoints, reversed signs and repeated capture meaning.1
Correct insufficient/sufficient difference claims from zero inclusion.1

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Part b

Interpret each p-value under equal population means, make the two decisions and give appropriately qualified conclusions. Explain why “store means are equal” is an unsupported conclusion in study 1.

Assuming equal store population mean waits, the probabilities of standardized differences at least as extreme in either direction are 0.48 and 0.008. Study 1: p>0.05, fail to reject; insufficient evidence of a population mean difference. Study 2: p≤0.05, reject; convincing evidence of a mean difference. The failure decision does not prove equality; the study may simply not distinguish the values convincingly. Both conclusions concern store population mean waits, not every customer’s wait.

Part b scoring criteria
Evidence for creditPoints
Correct conditional p interpretations.1
Correct decisions and no proof of equality.1

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